Caravaggio vs Pontisola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
51.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
DCA
1 - 1
CAR
35%
27%
38%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
CRE
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
PRO
2 - 1
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 2
GRU
46%
25%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
ROM
0 - 2
CAR
14%
20%
66%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Pontisola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2017 |
PON
2 - 2
VBE
60%
22%
19%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
DCA
1 - 2
PON
19%
23%
58%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
PON
0 - 0
CRE
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
PRO
3 - 3
PON
42%
26%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PON
3 - 0
GRU
77%
15%
9%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |