Caravaggio vs Olginatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
52.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
PRO
34%
26%
40%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
PSM
25%
24%
51%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ASS
2 - 3
CAR
81%
14%
6%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
PER
29%
28%
43%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CIS
3 - 2
CAR
64%
20%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Olginatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
OLG
0 - 1
LEC
23%
25%
52%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PRO
2 - 3
OLG
38%
27%
35%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
OLG
2 - 1
MAP
65%
21%
14%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FIO
1 - 1
OLG
23%
26%
51%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
OLG
1 - 2
BUS
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |