Caravaggio vs Levico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
2 - 0
RAD
7%
14%
79%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
BUS
1 - 2
CAR
38%
25%
38%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAR
0 - 2
CAS
48%
22%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FOL
0 - 4
CAR
65%
20%
15%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 2
TRI
30%
22%
48%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Levico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
LEV
1 - 1
SCA
26%
26%
49%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BUS
2 - 1
LEV
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
LEV
1 - 0
INV
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
LEV
1 - 0
FOL
21%
24%
55%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2020 |
NIB
0 - 0
LEV
69%
17%
14%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +1 |