Caravaggio vs Calcio Brusaporto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
50.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
SER
2 - 0
CAR
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
VIL
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
USB
3 - 1
CAR
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 1
CAL
43%
22%
35%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
TRI
40%
23%
38%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Calcio Brusaporto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 0
NOV
63%
20%
18%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
CRE
1 - 4
CAL
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 0
SON
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
USP
3 - 1
CAL
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
SCA
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |