Carapebus EC vs Olaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
58%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapebus EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NCI
0 - 0
CEC
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CEC
1 - 0
CGA
13%
16%
72%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | +4 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
CEC
1 - 0
CIG
24%
21%
56%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SAO
3 - 2
CEC
64%
20%
17%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CEC
0 - 2
PER
15%
18%
67%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Olaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
OLA
1 - 0
PER
22%
23%
55%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
DUQ
0 - 1
OLA
50%
25%
26%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
OLA
4 - 0
GOY
33%
28%
39%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
SER
2 - 1
OLA
45%
25%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
OLA
1 - 0
SFC
38%
25%
37%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |