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Virsliga. Matchday 11

Riga FC FK Liepāja
48 ELO 46
65% Tilt 83%
1253º General ELO ranking 1355º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
50.2%
Riga FC
19.9%
Draw
30%
FK Liepāja

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
Riga FC
2.31
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
30%
Win probability
FK Liepāja
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Riga FC
+89%
+7%
FK Liepāja

Basic stats

51
49
POS
10
13
SOT
5
4
COR
4
1
GF
1
4
GC
14
18
FRK
48
46
ELO
2.3
1.8
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Riga FC
Their league position
FK Liepāja
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
18
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Riga FC
29
68
46%
Rigas FS
29
71
43%
Valmiera FC
26
54
21%
FK Liepāja
18
48
17%
BFC Daugavpils
17
39
14%
FK Spartaks
10
40
14%
FS Metta/LU
9
32
18%
Ventspils
6
25
19%
FC Noah Jurmala
4
27
21%
Expected probabilities
Riga FC
FK Liepāja
Champion
46% 5%
Europa Conference League
51% 25%
Mid-table
3% 62%
Relegation playoffs
0% 8%

ELO progression

FK Liepāja
LIE
Riga FC
CAR
FK Spartaks
FKS
Rigas FS
RIG
FS Metta/LU
FSM
Ventspils
VEN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Riga FC
Riga FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO CAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2021
CAR
Riga FC
3 - 0
Ventspils
VEN
41%
28%
31%
851 958 -107 +6
30 Apr. 2021
VAL
Valmiera FC
2 - 1
Riga FC
CAR
33%
27%
39%
855 418 -437 -4
25 Apr. 2021
CAR
Riga FC
0 - 3
Rigas FS
RIG
41%
28%
31%
861 974 -113 -5
17 Apr. 2021
CAR
Riga FC
4 - 0
BFC Daugavpils
BFC
60%
22%
18%
857 379 478 +4
03 Apr. 2021
CAR
Riga FC
6 - 1
FK Spartaks
FKS
53%
24%
23%
853 510 343 +5

Matches

FK Liepāja
FK Liepāja
1%
X%
2%
ELO LIE ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 May. 2021
FSM
FS Metta/LU
0 - 3
FK Liepāja
LIE
35%
27%
38%
814 315 -499 +4
01 May. 2021
BFC
BFC Daugavpils
0 - 1
FK Liepāja
LIE
33%
27%
39%
812 375 -437 +2
18 Apr. 2021
VEN
Ventspils
0 - 1
FK Liepāja
LIE
53%
25%
22%
808 959 151 +4
10 Apr. 2021
LIE
FK Liepāja
1 - 2
Valmiera FC
VAL
56%
24%
20%
813 409 404 -4
04 Apr. 2021
RIG
Rigas FS
4 - 0
FK Liepāja
LIE
53%
25%
22%
818 963 145 -5