Carajas vs Paragominas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
74.6%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carajas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
IAC
2 - 0
CEC
79%
14%
7%
|
11 | 50 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2021 |
CEC
0 - 0
AGU
12%
18%
70%
|
9 | 38 | 29 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
SCI
1 - 0
CEC
73%
15%
11%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CEC
1 - 2
PAY
11%
18%
71%
|
9 | 58 | 49 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
GAV
1 - 3
CEC
52%
21%
27%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Paragominas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BPA
4 - 4
PAR
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 1
GAV
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
TUN
4 - 1
PAR
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 0
TAP
62%
20%
19%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
PAR
0 - 2
PAY
19%
23%
58%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |