Caracas vs Univ. César Vallejo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
30.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 0
CFC
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
LAR
1 - 0
CFC
45%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
CFC
2 - 0
POR
73%
18%
8%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 0
CFC
23%
29%
48%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
MET
2 - 1
CFC
28%
28%
45%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. César Vallejo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 0
CFC
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
VAL
3 - 1
SBO
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
GAR
1 - 1
VAL
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
VAL
0 - 1
MUN
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
MEL
0 - 2
VAL
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |