Caracas vs UCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
6.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
CFC
3 - 1
ATL
68%
21%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2021 |
MON
2 - 2
CFC
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
MIN
2 - 2
CFC
32%
27%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
CFC
1 - 1
MET
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
CFC
1 - 2
LAL
77%
17%
6%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2021 |
UCV
1 - 0
MIN
21%
27%
52%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2021 |
UCV
0 - 0
MET
23%
28%
50%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2021 |
LAL
0 - 2
UCV
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
UCV
2 - 2
ATL
28%
27%
44%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
MON
4 - 0
UCV
73%
18%
9%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |