Caracas vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
51.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
IND
2 - 3
CFC
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2020 |
LIB
3 - 2
CFC
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 1
CFC
26%
30%
44%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
CFC
1 - 1
BOC
23%
27%
50%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CFC
1 - 1
APC
57%
24%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 0
CCP
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 2
BOC
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
GEN
0 - 2
LIB
14%
21%
65%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
5 - 2
GUA
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
AME
1 - 3
LIB
20%
24%
55%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |