Caracas vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
38.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 0
VAL
44%
25%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 0
CFC
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
LAR
1 - 0
CFC
45%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
CFC
2 - 0
POR
73%
18%
8%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
ARA
0 - 0
CFC
23%
29%
48%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
JUN
1 - 1
BUC
62%
24%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 0
JUN
20%
27%
54%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
JUN
2 - 0
MIL
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
CHI
2 - 1
JUN
11%
23%
66%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2021 |
JUN
1 - 2
CAL
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |