Caracas vs Ayacucho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
AYA
0 - 1
CFC
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
CFC
3 - 1
MET
69%
21%
10%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
CFC
0 - 1
EST
71%
19%
10%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ANZ
0 - 0
CFC
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CFC
2 - 2
ZAM
43%
26%
30%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ayacucho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
AYA
3 - 3
VAL
35%
27%
38%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2014 |
AYA
0 - 1
CFC
38%
25%
37%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
AUR
4 - 1
AYA
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
AYA
2 - 4
SAM
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
GAR
3 - 0
AYA
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |