Caracas vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
1º
11º
11º
20
6º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 22 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 21 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 21 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 7 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MON
2 - 3
CFC
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 3
MET
55%
23%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
APC
1 - 1
CFC
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2024 |
CFC
0 - 0
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 1
CFC
48%
27%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
DEP
1 - 2
MET
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
DEP
4 - 1
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
UCV
2 - 0
DEP
27%
24%
49%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
MON
2 - 2
DEP
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DEP
0 - 0
UCV
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |