Caracas vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
LLA
0 - 1
CFC
23%
26%
51%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
CFC
4 - 0
TRU
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
CFC
0 - 0
TAC
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
CFC
3 - 0
MIR
64%
22%
15%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MON
1 - 2
CFC
20%
23%
56%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 1
CAR
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 0
LLA
31%
29%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
SCG
1 - 2
CAR
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
URE
62%
24%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
POL
1 - 1
CAR
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |