Carabobo vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
35.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
APC
27%
27%
46%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
YAR
1 - 2
CAR
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
DEP
4 - 2
CAR
70%
20%
10%
|
55 | 73 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
LAR
21%
28%
52%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
GVA
1 - 0
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2021 |
LAN
0 - 0
ARA
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
YAR
0 - 1
ARA
32%
29%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
ARA
2 - 6
GRE
9%
24%
67%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 0
APC
31%
29%
40%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
ARA
1 - 2
EQU
19%
26%
55%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |