Cappellen vs Heist analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cappellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
LIN
2 - 3
CAP
15%
20%
65%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SIN
2 - 2
CAP
25%
23%
52%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
CAP
1 - 6
RAF
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CAP
1 - 0
THA
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
EEA
1 - 1
CAP
42%
25%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Heist
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
HEI
2 - 2
DES
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
LIL
2 - 3
HEI
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
SIN
2 - 1
HEI
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
HEI
3 - 0
ACH
53%
21%
25%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
HEI
0 - 6
KSK
13%
19%
69%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |