Capital Brasilia vs Legião analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
37.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capital Brasilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
CAP
2 - 3
CEI
27%
26%
48%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
BDF
3 - 2
CAP
65%
20%
15%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CAP
1 - 2
LUZ
40%
25%
36%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
BRA
4 - 0
CAP
76%
16%
8%
|
33 | 62 | 29 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SOB
0 - 2
CAP
79%
14%
7%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | +2 |
Matches
Legião
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LEG
2 - 3
BSE
53%
22%
25%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
CEI
1 - 1
LEG
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LEG
0 - 6
GAM
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 0
LEG
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
LEG
0 - 2
CEI
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |