Capital Brasilia vs Real Brasília analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
50.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capital Brasilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
GAM
0 - 1
CAP
75%
15%
10%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
DOM
1 - 0
CAP
61%
20%
19%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
CAP
1 - 1
DOM
23%
23%
55%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2020 |
CAP
4 - 0
SOB
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
CAP
1 - 1
SED
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Brasília
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
DOM
1 - 2
CEI
65%
19%
16%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 2
DOM
53%
23%
25%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
DOM
0 - 1
BRA
35%
24%
42%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
DOM
1 - 0
CAP
61%
20%
19%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
CAP
1 - 1
DOM
23%
23%
55%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |