Capital Brasilia vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
37.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
+46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capital Brasilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
DOM
0 - 0
CAP
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
TAG
0 - 0
CAP
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
CAP
0 - 3
FOR
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
PAR
1 - 4
CAP
33%
23%
45%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAP
1 - 0
CEI
50%
22%
28%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
CEI
3 - 0
PAR
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
BRA
5 - 0
CEI
63%
22%
15%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CEI
0 - 6
GAM
11%
20%
69%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
CEI
0 - 2
DOM
26%
24%
51%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SED
2 - 0
CEI
16%
19%
65%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -3 |