Capital Brasilia vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
58.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capital Brasilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TAG
0 - 1
CAP
41%
24%
35%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAP
1 - 2
SAM
80%
14%
6%
|
48 | 15 | 33 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
CAP
3 - 1
GAM
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
BRA
0 - 1
CAP
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
CEI
2 - 1
CAP
47%
23%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 2
GAM
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CEI
0 - 3
BRA
19%
23%
58%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
BRA
49%
27%
25%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 1
VIL
31%
26%
44%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
CUI
0 - 3
BRA
73%
18%
9%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | +3 |