Capital Brasilia vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
57.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capital Brasilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CEI
2 - 3
CAP
37%
24%
39%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CAP
3 - 1
SED
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
LUZ
0 - 4
CAP
24%
22%
53%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
CAP
4 - 1
BRA
42%
25%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 4
CAP
13%
19%
68%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
5 - 0
TAG
58%
21%
22%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
5 - 1
CEI
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
SED
3 - 2
BRA
14%
19%
68%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
4 - 1
LUZ
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 1
BRA
20%
24%
56%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |