Capelle vs Zwaluwen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
12º
3º
45
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
69.5% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
69.5% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capelle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
RVV
0 - 1
CAP
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
CAP
2 - 3
GEN
40%
25%
35%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
GEN
3 - 1
CAP
46%
22%
32%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CAP
4 - 1
AZS
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2023 |
AZS
2 - 2
CAP
24%
24%
53%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ZWA
1 - 0
DSO
59%
20%
22%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
ZWA
1 - 6
VOL
6%
12%
82%
|
39 | 70 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
JOD
0 - 1
ZWA
32%
24%
45%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
ZWA
1 - 1
SMI
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
SPI
2 - 2
ZWA
49%
22%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |