Canvey Island vs Lewes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
BUR
1 - 0
CAN
40%
25%
36%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CAN
0 - 0
HAM
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
CAN
2 - 0
LEI
62%
21%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
WIN
0 - 1
CAN
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
5 - 0
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lewes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
LEW
1 - 0
WEA
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
THU
2 - 0
LEW
28%
26%
46%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 3
LEW
36%
28%
36%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
LEW
1 - 2
ENF
49%
24%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LEW
4 - 2
HAR
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |