Canvey Island vs Dereham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
22.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
CAN
0 - 1
TON
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 2
CAN
11%
17%
72%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 0
CTF
67%
19%
15%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CAN
6 - 0
YAX
73%
17%
10%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
CAN
6 - 0
WHI
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Dereham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
DER
3 - 0
CTF
54%
23%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
ROM
0 - 4
DER
20%
20%
60%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
DER
3 - 3
MAL
20%
20%
60%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BRE
2 - 0
DER
41%
23%
36%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
DER
2 - 1
BUR
49%
23%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |