FA Cup . Previa 3
Global 2-3
Canvey Island vs Bedford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BED
0 - 0
CAN
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
TIL
2 - 2
CAN
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 0
FEL
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 1
WAL
56%
23%
22%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
STO
2 - 2
CAN
46%
21%
33%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bedford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BED
0 - 0
CAN
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
BED
2 - 1
BFC
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
AFD
1 - 0
BED
32%
23%
46%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BED
3 - 0
STN
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
BED
4 - 0
HAR
77%
15%
9%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |