Canelas 2010 vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
1º
7º
5º
28
1º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canelas 2010
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
VIA
0 - 0
CAN
39%
28%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 3
BRA
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
FEL
1 - 0
CAN
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 3
MAR
9%
16%
75%
|
41 | 64 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CAN
1 - 2
SAN
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
VAR
1 - 2
TRO
33%
28%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 1
VAR
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 1
FAF
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 0
VIA
64%
22%
14%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BRA
2 - 0
VAR
29%
27%
44%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |