Canadian vs Deportivo Colonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
59.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canadian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 1
CAN
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 1
MAR
43%
23%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 1
BVS
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DUR
1 - 0
CAN
58%
20%
22%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 0
VIL
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Colonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
COL
0 - 0
DUR
47%
23%
30%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
COL
1 - 0
VIL
50%
23%
27%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
POT
1 - 0
COL
30%
23%
48%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
COL
1 - 2
TAC
38%
24%
39%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
COL
1 - 1
COL
30%
23%
47%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |