Canada vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
66.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
USA
1 - 0
CAN
78%
15%
7%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
SLV
0 - 0
CAN
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 0
HND
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 1
GHA
35%
29%
37%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
BLZ
1 - 1
CAN
12%
20%
68%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
MEX
2 - 0
SEN
74%
18%
8%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
HND
0 - 2
MEX
19%
24%
57%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
MEX
3 - 0
SLV
82%
14%
5%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
MEX
1 - 0
PAN
71%
19%
10%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
USA
2 - 3
MEX
42%
24%
34%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | +1 |