Canada vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
51%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2000 |
CAN
1 - 0
PAN
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
TTO
4 - 0
CAN
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2000 |
MEX
2 - 0
CAN
74%
18%
9%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2000 |
PAN
0 - 0
CAN
33%
27%
40%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2000 |
CAN
0 - 2
TTO
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2000 |
USA
2 - 0
MEX
41%
27%
32%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
MEX
7 - 0
TTO
76%
16%
8%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2000 |
MEX
1 - 0
BOL
74%
17%
9%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2000 |
MEX
2 - 0
ECU
70%
19%
11%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2000 |
MEX
7 - 1
PAN
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |