Gold Cup CONCACAF Group D Round 1

Canada vs Guadalupe analysis

Canada Guadalupe
84 ELO 57
-2.3% Tilt -4.9%
223º General ELO ranking 3099º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
83.7%
Canada
12%
Draw
4.3%
Guadalupe

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.7%
Win probability
Canada
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
14%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4.3%
Win probability
Guadalupe
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Canada
+12%
+3%
Guadalupe

ELO progression

Canada
Guadalupe
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Canada
Canada
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jun. 2023
CAN
Canada
0 - 2
United States
USA
22%
24%
54%
84 90 6 0
16 Jun. 2023
PAN
Panama
0 - 2
Canada
CAN
34%
27%
39%
84 81 3 0
29 Mar. 2023
CAN
Canada
4 - 1
Honduras
HND
59%
23%
18%
83 78 5 +1
26 Mar. 2023
CUW
Curaçao
0 - 2
Canada
CAN
17%
23%
60%
83 61 22 0
01 Dec. 2022
CAN
Canada
1 - 2
Morocco
MAR
24%
25%
52%
83 89 6 0

Matches

Guadalupe
Guadalupe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jun. 2023
GLP
Guadalupe
2 - 0
Guyana
GUY
52%
23%
25%
55 52 3 0
16 Jun. 2023
ATG
Antigua and Barbuda
0 - 5
Guadalupe
GLP
37%
26%
37%
54 52 2 +1
26 Mar. 2023
CUB
Cuba
1 - 0
Guadalupe
GLP
50%
25%
25%
54 59 5 0
24 Mar. 2023
GLP
Guadalupe
0 - 1
Antigua and Barbuda
ATG
47%
23%
30%
55 51 4 -1
13 Jun. 2022
GLP
Guadalupe
2 - 1
Barbados
BRB
73%
17%
10%
55 38 17 0