Canada vs United States analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
58.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
HND
0 - 2
CAN
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2021 |
CAN
2 - 1
MEX
16%
23%
61%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 0
CRI
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
CAN
4 - 1
PAN
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
JAM
0 - 0
CAN
32%
27%
42%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
United States
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2022 |
USA
1 - 0
SLV
88%
9%
3%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
USA
1 - 0
BIH
80%
14%
7%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
JAM
1 - 1
USA
11%
21%
68%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
USA
2 - 0
MEX
48%
24%
28%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
USA
2 - 1
CRI
78%
14%
8%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | +1 |