WC Qual. CONCACAF Finales. Jor. 1

Canada vs Jamaica analysis

Canada Jamaica
78 ELO 73
-5.5% Tilt -13.3%
240º General ELO ranking 560º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
59.8%
Canada
21.1%
Draw
19.1%
Jamaica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
Canada
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
19.1%
Win probability
Jamaica
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Canada
-1%
+8%
Jamaica

ELO progression

Canada
Jamaica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Canada
Canada
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 1997
CAN
Canada
0 - 0
El Salvador
SLV
66%
20%
15%
78 72 6 0
16 Mar. 1997
USA
United States
3 - 0
Canada
CAN
64%
22%
15%
79 83 4 -1
02 Mar. 1997
MEX
Mexico
4 - 0
Canada
CAN
73%
18%
9%
79 90 11 0
15 Dec. 1996
SLV
El Salvador
0 - 2
Canada
CAN
44%
26%
31%
78 72 6 +1
03 Nov. 1996
CAN
Canada
1 - 0
El Salvador
SLV
67%
19%
14%
78 71 7 0

Matches

Jamaica
Jamaica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Apr. 1997
MEX
Mexico
6 - 0
Jamaica
JAM
75%
17%
8%
74 90 16 0
23 Mar. 1997
BOL
Bolivia
6 - 0
Jamaica
JAM
63%
20%
17%
74 80 6 0
02 Mar. 1997
JAM
Jamaica
0 - 0
United States
USA
30%
27%
43%
74 83 9 0
12 Feb. 1997
JAM
Jamaica
0 - 0
Venezuela
VEN
62%
23%
16%
74 60 14 0
17 Nov. 1996
JAM
Jamaica
1 - 0
Mexico
MEX
18%
28%
54%
73 90 17 +1
X