Canada vs Honduras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
CUW
0 - 2
CAN
18%
24%
58%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 2
MAR
24%
25%
52%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
HRV
4 - 1
CAN
72%
18%
11%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 0
CAN
87%
9%
4%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
JPN
1 - 2
CAN
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Honduras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
HND
1 - 0
SLV
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SAU
0 - 0
HND
52%
24%
23%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
QAT
1 - 0
HND
60%
21%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
HND
2 - 1
GTM
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ARG
3 - 0
HND
87%
10%
3%
|
76 | 95 | 19 | 0 |