Carioca Série B1 1ra Fase. Jor. 5

Campo Grande vs Serra Macaense analysis

Campo Grande Serra Macaense
44 ELO 34
-10.6% Tilt 7%
29704º General ELO ranking 22460º
920º Country ELO ranking 564º
ELO win probability
65.1%
Campo Grande
19.9%
Draw
15%
Serra Macaense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
Campo Grande
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15%
Win probability
Serra Macaense
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Campo Grande
-64%
-55%
Serra Macaense

ELO progression

Campo Grande
Serra Macaense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Campo Grande
Campo Grande
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2021
SFC
Serrano FC
2 - 1
Campo Grande
CGA
13%
18%
69%
45 34 11 0
25 Sep. 2021
CGA
Campo Grande
2 - 0
Nova Cidade
NCI
72%
18%
11%
45 28 17 0
22 Sep. 2021
CGA
Campo Grande
1 - 0
Olaria
OLA
67%
19%
14%
45 32 13 0
18 Sep. 2021
GOY
Goytacaz
1 - 1
Campo Grande
CGA
32%
23%
46%
45 42 3 0
05 Sep. 2021
RES
Resende
2 - 0
Campo Grande
CGA
34%
22%
44%
46 45 1 -1

Matches

Serra Macaense
Serra Macaense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2021
SER
Serra Macaense
2 - 1
Olaria
OLA
45%
25%
31%
34 33 1 0
25 Sep. 2021
GOY
Goytacaz
1 - 1
Serra Macaense
SER
60%
22%
18%
33 41 8 +1
22 Sep. 2021
NCI
Nova Cidade
1 - 0
Serra Macaense
SER
30%
23%
47%
35 27 8 -2
19 Sep. 2021
SER
Serra Macaense
2 - 1
Serrano FC
SFC
46%
23%
31%
34 33 1 +1
25 Nov. 2020
SER
Serra Macaense
2 - 1
Angra dos Reis
ANG
40%
25%
35%
33 36 3 +1
X