Campinense vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
CEN
1 - 1
CAM
35%
28%
37%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
CAM
2 - 1
QUE
78%
15%
8%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SPO
1 - 6
CAM
14%
21%
65%
|
54 | 5 | 49 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
CAM
5 - 1
ATL
70%
18%
11%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAM
15%
22%
63%
|
54 | 18 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
JAC
4 - 1
BAR
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
COR
1 - 3
JAC
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAT
3 - 3
JAC
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
JAC
5 - 0
SER
54%
24%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAH
2 - 1
JAC
79%
15%
7%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |