Campinense vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.2%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.1%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.1%
76.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.8%
0-2
17.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.6%
0-3
12.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
CAM
0 - 0
ARN
21%
25%
53%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
AFO
2 - 1
CAM
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
CAM
1 - 1
GUA
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
FLO
2 - 1
CAM
58%
23%
19%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
CAM
2 - 1
ATL
42%
27%
32%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
BAH
8%
18%
75%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
BAH
1 - 1
BOT
77%
16%
8%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
BAH
0 - 1
UNI
89%
9%
2%
|
77 | 30 | 47 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAL
2 - 3
BAH
8%
19%
73%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
BAH
2 - 0
SAN
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |