Cambridge United vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambridge United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 2
CAM
59%
22%
20%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
WAT
1 - 3
CAM
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CAM
2 - 2
CHE
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SUN
5 - 1
CAM
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
CAM
0 - 2
CHA
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
ALF
0 - 2
NOT
20%
22%
58%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
LEI
1 - 2
NOT
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 87 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 5
NOT
11%
19%
70%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
NOT
1 - 2
GRI
52%
23%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
MAI
0 - 1
NOT
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |