Cambridge United vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambridge United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
LEY
1 - 1
CAM
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
STE
1 - 2
CAM
43%
27%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CAM
2 - 1
CRE
65%
20%
15%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
HAR
0 - 5
CAM
28%
28%
44%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 0
CAM
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
NOT
2 - 3
CUM
21%
24%
55%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
NOT
0 - 1
DON
22%
24%
54%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2016 |
POS
2 - 0
NOT
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
COL
2 - 1
NOT
61%
20%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
NOT
0 - 2
WYC
28%
27%
46%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |