Calpe vs Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
BEN
3 - 4
CAL
16%
19%
65%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
ALM
56%
21%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
PET
0 - 1
CAL
24%
21%
55%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 0
RAF
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
3 - 0
CAL
15%
18%
67%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
THD
3 - 0
HOR
43%
24%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
THD
1 - 1
HON
47%
23%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 3
THD
39%
24%
37%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
THD
1 - 3
ALM
32%
24%
45%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PET
2 - 0
THD
32%
23%
45%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |