Club Calor vs Ciervos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
6.2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
3º
1º
6
8º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
24 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 20 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
6 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 4 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Calor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
HUR
2 - 1
CAL
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
CDC
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CCM
0 - 5
CAL
13%
21%
66%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
THM
0 - 1
CAL
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ALE
0 - 2
CAL
46%
26%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ciervos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
CAA
0 - 6
CIE
48%
21%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CIE
0 - 2
HUR
30%
20%
50%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -3 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 1
CIE
74%
16%
10%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CIE
1 - 1
CCM
37%
21%
43%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
THM
4 - 1
CIE
69%
16%
14%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |