Club Calor vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
3º
1º
17
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
24 | 23 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 21 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 20 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
17 | 17 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
15 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 14 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 4 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club Calor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
MAZ
1 - 2
CAL
43%
26%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
3 - 0
CAA
80%
15%
6%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
4 - 0
CIE
78%
16%
6%
|
54 | 30 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
HUR
2 - 1
CAL
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 1
CDC
58%
24%
18%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Alebrijes de Oaxaca II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ALE
0 - 0
THM
60%
23%
18%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ALE
1 - 0
ZIT
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PDC
0 - 0
ALE
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
ALE
2 - 0
MAZ
42%
26%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
CAA
1 - 0
ALE
8%
16%
76%
|
53 | 27 | 26 | 0 |