Calig vs E. Rosell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 1
CAL
18%
19%
64%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
TRR
5 - 1
CAL
39%
22%
39%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 2
BEN
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
SAL
1 - 2
CAL
20%
19%
61%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
7 - 0
CLU
88%
9%
4%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
E. Rosell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2017 |
ESP
2 - 3
VIL
76%
14%
10%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CLU
3 - 6
ESP
9%
15%
76%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 4
ESP
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ESP
4 - 4
BNC
30%
21%
49%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
TRR
5 - 0
ESP
46%
22%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |