Caldense vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.5%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
0
18.8%
73.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.6%
0-2
17.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.9%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
14%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
AMF
0 - 1
CAL
87%
11%
3%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
PAT
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
CRZ
0 - 1
CAL
83%
13%
4%
|
43 | 76 | 33 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
TOM
14%
24%
62%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 2
BRA
22%
29%
49%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
NOV
2 - 2
VAS
12%
22%
66%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
VOL
1 - 0
VAS
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
VAS
0 - 1
POR
80%
14%
5%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2021 |
VAS
3 - 2
GOI
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
COR
0 - 0
VAS
64%
23%
14%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |