Caldense vs Rio Branco ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FER
3 - 1
CAL
63%
23%
15%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
BOA
33%
30%
37%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
UBE
2 - 3
CAL
52%
26%
23%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 0
PAT
56%
25%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
AGU
0 - 6
CAL
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Rio Branco ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 2
UBE
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
AGU
2 - 6
RIO
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
FER
2 - 0
RIO
67%
21%
12%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
RIO
0 - 3
RVV
31%
27%
41%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
BOA
1 - 1
RIO
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |