Caldas vs União Santarém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
37.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
SCP
1 - 0
CAL
87%
9%
3%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
LEX
4 - 1
CAL
77%
16%
7%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
BEN
2 - 1
CAL
54%
23%
22%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
OLI
42%
26%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
LOU
0 - 1
CAL
50%
24%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
USA
1 - 2
REA
24%
24%
52%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ORI
1 - 2
USA
64%
20%
15%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
USA
1 - 1
MAR
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ALV
0 - 0
USA
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CON
2 - 3
USA
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |