Caldas vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
CAL
5 - 0
ADM
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 2
CAL
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
UDL
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ATA
0 - 3
CAL
18%
22%
59%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 2
VIT
68%
21%
11%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 0
SER
25%
25%
50%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SER
1 - 0
CRA
81%
14%
6%
|
51 | 22 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 2
SER
12%
20%
68%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SER
1 - 5
UNM
18%
24%
58%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SER
2 - 0
ALC
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |