Caldas vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
30.3%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.3%
42.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.4%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
CAL
23%
25%
53%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
GDA
79%
16%
6%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 0
ALC
37%
27%
36%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
PRA
2 - 1
CAL
59%
23%
18%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GDR
2 - 1
CAL
24%
25%
51%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MAF
3 - 0
GDR
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 3
MAF
16%
26%
59%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 0
MAF
17%
25%
58%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
PRA
2 - 1
MAF
44%
28%
29%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
MAF
3 - 0
TOR
55%
26%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |