Taça de Portugal . Last 16
Global 0-3
Caldas vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
54.2%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1957 |
SLB
0 - 0
CAL
87%
9%
4%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
CAL
3 - 1
ATL
54%
22%
24%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
BEL
5 - 0
CAL
92%
6%
3%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
CAL
2 - 2
LGC
44%
23%
33%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
CAL
2 - 1
FAB
53%
21%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1957 |
SLB
0 - 0
CAL
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1957 |
SLB
2 - 0
ACA
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
TOR
1 - 1
SLB
19%
19%
62%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
SLB
10 - 1
FCB
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
VST
2 - 3
SLB
19%
20%
62%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |