FC Alverca vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
19%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
9º
3º
31
1º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 34 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MAC
1 - 1
ALV
11%
16%
73%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 0
GDF
51%
25%
25%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
ALV
2 - 0
UDR
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SCP
1 - 0
ALV
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 1
UDL
42%
26%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 0
SPC
13%
22%
65%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VST
1 - 2
CAL
74%
17%
9%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CAL
3 - 1
MON
24%
27%
49%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 0
OLI
39%
25%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
GDF
1 - 1
CAL
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |