Caldas vs Águias do Moradal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
11.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 2
CAL
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
UDL
31%
27%
42%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ATA
0 - 3
CAL
18%
22%
59%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 2
VIT
68%
21%
11%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 1
CAL
26%
26%
49%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Águias do Moradal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
ADM
0 - 0
NAV
30%
24%
46%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CRA
1 - 2
ADM
26%
21%
53%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
ADM
0 - 2
PEN
67%
18%
16%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ALC
4 - 3
ADM
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ADM
1 - 2
SAL
7%
13%
80%
|
33 | 69 | 36 | 0 |